Friday, October 14, 2011

Pierce's Picks - NFL Week 6

A respectable 10-3 record last week in the first week of the year with teams off.

That puts me at 53-24 so far!  Not bad!

For this week:

Sunday at 1:00pm ET -
Carolina (1-4) @ Atlanta (2-3)
Buffalo (4-1) @ NY Giants (3-2)
Indianapolis (0-5) @ Cincinnati (3-2)
San Francisco (4-1) @ Detroit (5-0)
St. Louis (0-4) @ Green Bay (5-0)
Philadelphia (1-4) @ Washington (3-1)
Jacksonville (1-4) @ Pittsburgh (3-2)

Sunday at 4:00pm ET -
Cleveland (2-2) @ Oakland (3-2)
Houston (3-2) @ Baltimore (3-1)
Dallas (2-2) @ New England (4-1)
New Orleans (4-1) @ Tampa Bay (3-2)

Sunday Night -
Minnesota (1-4) @ Chicago (2-3)

Monday Night -
Miami (0-4) @ NY Jets (2-3)

Byes -
Arizona, Denver, Kansas City, San Diego, Seattle, Tennessee

After five weeks of play, right now I would predict, for the second straight week, Green Bay over New England in Super Bowl XLVI.

So, we have some interesting games here.  Detroit and San Fran is my marquee game of the week - two good, young teams, facing another good, young team.  Which team wins out?  Does Detroit stay unbeaten?  I like the Lions at home in this one, but it's going to be a lower-scoring game than we'd expect and it'll be close.  And mark my words, I live in Minnesota, I'm going to end up with the Rams being blown out by the Packers on FOX instead of the more competitive Lions game.  Sigh.

Colts have a chance against the Bengals, but I'm not buying it.  The Panthers will pull another close one against Atlanta, but the Falcons need a win and I don't like going against Matty Ice at home.  Buffalo and the Giants are both hot; that game says a lot about both teams.  The Eagles need to stop the bleeding, but they're up against a rested Washington team coming off a bye who can trounce them in the trenches, where Washington is strongest and Philadelphia weakest.  Baltimore/Houston would be tougher to pick if Andre Johnson is healthy... but he's not, and the Ravens are coming off a bye.  And we enter our first week where both primetime games are going to be unappetizing at best.  Here's hoping they push flex-scheduling Sunday night to earlier in the season sometime soon.

Once again, last week, I made a terrible survival pick, although almost everyone was on the Giants over the Seahawks.  Surprise, surprise.  That was the first time in ten years the Seahawks had won a 1:00pm ET start on the East Coast.  Oh well.

As for this week - Pittsburgh looks like a good matchup; Jacksonville isn't good and the Steelers aren't either, but they're better than the Jags.  The Jets look good, but be careful of teams coming off of bye weeks.  Bye week teams always have a slight advantage, no matter how bad they are.  If you're desperate, you could use Green Bay right now, but I try to save teams like that.  Same for the Patriots or Saints.  Personally, Pittsburgh is my top survival pick this week, followed by Washington and New Orleans.

In other news, with Tebow starting in Denver now, does Orton get traded?  Miami sure could use him now... I'd think there's no way he doesn't get shopped by the Broncos.  I can't imagine they intend to retain him after this season, so I'm sure they can find some value for him somewhere.  Miami makes the most sense, but what about Washington, or Indianapolis, or Jacksonville?  I could see Orton thriving in Washington, with that run-first, strong-in-the-trenches style of play.  He did very well in Chicago when they played that way.  But that's assuming Washington moves away from Rex Grossman.  And how ironic would it be to have Grossman and Orton together again, competing for the job again, on a team that basically plays just like their old one did!  I can appreciate irony!  Really, though, you have to think Miami goes after him.  It just makes sense.  Or maybe Seattle.

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