Thursday, December 29, 2011

Pierce's Picks - NFL Week 17

Last week saw a repeat of 9-7, putting my season mark at 149-91.

Let's see if I can turn out a great finale to tie or break last year's record of 161-95.

This week:

Sunday at 1:00pm ET -
Buffalo (6-9) @ New England (12-3)
Chicago (7-8) @ Minnesota (3-12)
Detroit (10-5) @ Green Bay (14-1)
Tennessee (8-7) @ Houston (10-5)
Indianapolis (2-13) @ Jacksonville (4-11)
San Francisco (12-3) @ St. Louis (2-13)
NY Jets (8-7) @ Miami (5-10)
Carolina (6-9) @ New Orleans (12-3)
Washington (5-10) @ Philadelphia (7-8)

Sunday at 4:00pm ET -
Tampa Bay (4-11) @ Atlanta (9-6)
Baltimore (11-4) @ Cincinnati (9-6)
Pittsburgh (11-4) @ Cleveland (4-11)
Kansas City (6-9) @ Denver (8-7)
San Diego (7-8) @ Oakland (8-7)
Seattle (7-8) @ Arizona (7-8)

Sunday Night -
Dallas (8-7) @ NY Giants (8-7)

After sixteen weeks of play, I'm sticking with Green Bay over Baltimore in Super Bowl XLVI.

For the early games -
I think New England's B-squad can torch Buffalo.  Besides, I think New England pushes for the 1-seed.
A depleted Minnesota team against a depleted Chicago team.  I just feel like Chicago is due for a win here.
I think Detroit comes into Lambeau with an attitude, fighting for the 5-seed, while Green Bay just wants to stay (and get) healthy for the playoffs.  The game just means more to the Lions.
Houston's in a must-win situation.  Sounds odd, but after embarrassingly dropping their last two games, they need to go into the playoffs with a win for morale.
I still think Jacksonville is better than Indy.  MJD will be running for the rushing title.
San Francisco's B-squad should be able to torch the hapless Rams, but I think Harbaugh makes his team play and play for the win, anyway.
Ugh, both the Jets and Dolphins make me want to barf.  I'll take Rex's team putting up this week, but it's not enough to make the playoffs anymore, which means we'll get to hear Rex's "We'll win the Super Bowl next year!" speech a little earlier this year.
I love Carolina as an upset this week, winning a game like this to build momentum for next year.  But I think Payton, like Harbaugh, will play his team to win this game.  The 2-seed is in the air, after all.  But this one looks close to me.
Philadelphia crushes Washington, end of story.  One team is more talented than the other.

For the afternoon games -
What happened to Tampa Bay?  Ouch.  Atlanta wins, even if they don't have anything to play for, in terms of playoff picture.  Mike Smith knows they want to go into the playoffs against whomever they face with a win.
Baltimore wants the 2-seed.  This game should be close, should be entertaining, but I think Baltimore closes it out.
Pittsburgh, likewise, will be pushing for that 2-seed, and even then, their B-squad can beat Cleveland.
It's the Kyle Orton revenge game, helming the Chiefs as they head to Mile High.  Orton outperforms Tebow and knocks the Broncos out of the playoffs.
Meanwhile, the Raiders knock off the Chargers, sending them to the playoffs and ending the Norv Turner era of underachievement in San Diego.
How is Arizona on the verge of 8-8?  Didn't they start 1-6?  That's pretty impressive, but I like Seattle to build more momentum for next year.

Sunday Night -
Game of the Week here.  Winner takes the NFC East and the 4-seed to most likely be a first-round exit in the playoffs.  Both teams are hopelessly flawed in areas.  But you know what?  I like Romo way more than Eli and the Giants almost always drop the game right after a big win.  After squashing the Jets last week, I feel like the Giants lay an egg here.  Besides, Dallas will be out for revenge after that debacle the last time these two teams played.

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